Original Research Article
Year: 2018 | Month: October-December | Volume: 3 | Issue: 4 | Pages: 123-131
A Study on the Evaluation of Cataract Blindness in the Commercial City of Onitsha, Anambra State, Nigeria
Bilesanmi A. O.
Department of General Studies, Petroleum Training Institute, Effurum-Delta State, Nigeria
ABSTRACT
This study evaluates the trend of cataract blindness in Onitsha, of Anambra State. The study employed secondary source of data collection which was obtained from the eye records department of General Hospital Onitsha. The statistical tools used includes the time series analysis, Kwiatkowski-Phillips-Schmidt-Shin (KPSS) test, Mean absolute percentage error, mean absolute deviation, mean square deviation and paired sample test. The findings of the study revealed that the distribution of reported cases of cataract showed a steeply increasing trend of cases of cataract in Onitsha, Anambra State. It was found that the quadratic model provides the best trend model for estimating total number of cataract cases in Onitsha, Anambra State. It was found that the series of number of reported cataract cases is stationary over time. Hence, was used to make future forecast of the series. The two years forecast of reported cases of cataract in the commercial city of Onitsha, Anambra State revealed an increasing trend. Also, it was found that there exist positive linear association between male and female reported cases of cataract. Further findings showed that there are more female reported cases of cataract than male in the commercial city of Onitsha, Anambra State.
Keywords: Blindness, Forecast, Health, Patients, Surgery, Trend